Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.548019 1.678314 1.816285 1.973578 2.148314 2.336901 2.556407
2026-01-04 1.367076 1.548718 1.751993 1.997562 2.287816 2.621962 3.038637
2026-01-11 1.248064 1.460628 1.708543 2.021588 2.409925 2.880595 3.501545
2026-01-18 1.158527 1.391542 1.672509 2.040373 2.515464 3.116970 3.950236
2026-01-25 1.081091 1.326884 1.631629 2.043068 2.593158 3.316690 4.363501
2026-02-01 0.998370 1.247230 1.562938 2.000223 2.602192 3.420189 4.649178
2026-02-08 0.933523 1.184839 1.510311 1.971720 2.624153 3.537978 4.960646
2026-02-15 0.882936 1.137121 1.472660 1.958782 2.663769 3.680148 5.317861
2026-02-22 0.856634 1.119716 1.473830 1.998442 2.779484 3.940181 5.880179
2026-03-01 0.816235 1.080156 1.441232 1.986320 2.816174 4.081983 6.266250
2026-03-08 0.774759 1.036549 1.399936 1.957840 2.824513 4.178282 6.584112
2026-03-15 0.726325 0.980508 1.337567 1.893458 2.771644 4.171068 6.720975
2026-03-22 0.701109 0.957069 1.322001 1.900170 2.833131 4.358112 7.227612
2026-03-29 0.681350 0.940486 1.315472 1.920131 2.917083 4.589687 7.843847
2026-04-05 0.663673 0.925923 1.310893 1.942361 3.005709 4.836268 8.518861
2026-04-12 0.646162 0.910604 1.304080 1.960090 3.087315 5.076803 9.212410
2026-04-19 0.626250 0.890603 1.288806 1.962622 3.142151 5.272609 9.839545
2026-04-26 0.597728 0.856108 1.249078 1.921869 3.117078 5.316103 10.148589
2026-05-03 0.574191 0.828315 1.218590 1.894753 3.114156 5.400694 10.556751
2026-05-10 0.555361 0.807079 1.197557 1.882444 3.137077 5.536997 11.098627
2026-05-17 0.548129 0.803776 1.205249 1.920172 3.255499 5.874145 12.155999
2026-05-24 0.531314 0.784461 1.185739 1.908642 3.279192 6.019316 12.773302
2026-05-31 0.512401 0.761046 1.158408 1.881548 3.270679 6.095839 13.230360